by Claquesous » Sun May 28, 2006 4:38 am
Wow Piraya! Didn't your mother ever tell you, "if you can't say anything nice, then don't say anything at all." Your personal vendetta against Sony may be even deeper set and less reasonable than my personal vendetta against Microsoft.
Let me go over a little history of the console gaming industry as I see it.
Back in the 80s video gaming was a niche market with limited success by Atari until Nintendo came along and made video games mainstream. For about ten years Nintendo reigned supreme. For a while I would even call them a monopoly.
When Super Nintendo came out Nintendo carried on that dominance with limited competition from Sega Genesis. Later on TurboGraphics came along. All these systems were 16 bit and cartridge based.
After this generation there were a few failed attempts at a new generation such as Sega CD, Atari Jaguar and SNK's cartridge based 64 bit system: Neo-Geo. I played Neo-Geo. It was a 64 bit system in an era of 16 bit systems. Very high line, but massively expensive. ($200 just to buy a controller.)
The next true generation pitted Nintendo 64 against Sony's first foray into gaming with the Playstation. Sony was not the first to use a CD, nor necessarily the best. However, it was undoubtedly the first company that succeeded with CD gaming. I don't know if they succeeded because of clever marketing or finally figuring out a reasonable way to save games while using a read only media.
Whatever the reasons were Sony entered a market where Nintendo was the undisputed king and somehow displaced them. I don't remember hearing much hype before hand. To me it was very quiet and sudden until one day I woke up and everyone was saying Nintendo would've gone bankrupt on N64 if it weren't for GoldenEye. Sega on the other hand pretty much did go bankrupt with DreamCast, but that was mainly because a massive failure to predict piracy.
Moving on to the next generation. Sony Playstation 2 expanded it's lead while Nintendo shrank down to a fanboyish following with gamers that mainly played for Mario and Zelda. However, the new kid in town did make a bit of a splash. Microsoft came in with all the attitude and brash confidence they've had throughout their history. They tried to come in as a monopoly by immediately buying out the company that made Halo so it would only play on their system. They also bought RareSoft (maker of GoldenEye). However, the overconfidence worked against them to an extent. More importantly, they didn't have the library of games that PS2 had. The day that Microsoft launched, PS2 already had something like 400 more games for it just because of the PS1 backwards compatibility.
In effect, I would argue that PS2 beat XBox mainly because of the games. As you look through the history I'd say this is pretty accurate for every generation. The first generation was the lovable Italian plumber Mario, vs. Sonic the Hedgehog - an irritating platformer/racing game, vs. Bonk - a funny looking caveman that loves to head butt things. The next generation I think Nintendo got complacent with Mario and failed to extend their lead. (Although the 2 Zelda games for N64 are two of the best games ever made for any system.) I think a crippling blow landed by Sony was the move of Square from Nintendo to Sony. You might think this is just the FF fanboy in me, but FF is huge in Japan. I'm not sure if anything compares, but perhaps a new FF game is treated like a new Harry Potter book here. Final Fantasy 7 was one of the first games I can remember seeing a commercial for on TV and it looked like a movie the production value was so high.
A little bit about controllers. I really don't understand your point about original controllers. If you look at it, Nintendo, Turbo Grafx, and Neo Geo had the same controller. Then Super Nintendo, N64, Genesis, Jaguar (I think), Dreamcast, Gamecube, PS1, PS2, PS2, XBox, and XBox 360 all have the same controller. Then N64 and Wii have unique controllers. I listed N64 in two groups because it had two different uses which to me emphasizes the fact that it's in it's own group even more. Why are you so upset about Sony being unoriginal when Nintendo is the only company that has ever come out with an original controller? The XBox controller is just a rather clunky Genesis controller with a massive XBox and Microsoft logo on it.
Nintendo about Sony's motion sensoring. In fact they are . Why are you so concerned?
As far as online gaming goes, I've already said that Microsoft has an advantage. However, I am always distrustful of them as a company that wants to get into your pocket and have you pay them every month for the rest of their lives. It makes a ton of business sense, I just don't subscribe to it. Sony would be stupid not to emulate Microsoft's system. If people don't believe this they are stupid fan boys, but I haven't seen Sony come out and say yet what exactly they are planning to do so I find your prediction a bit speculative. Please provide more links for this mudslinging to which you refer. I can pretty much guarantee I can find just as many links where Microsoft does the same.
At the end of the day, I believe video game competition has been very predictable. When systems are competing at an uneven level, the simpler system has always won. (Jaguar, Neo-Geo, Sega CD, Dreamcast were all ahead of their time and all absolute failures.) When systems are pretty even it all comes down to which system has the best unique games. Nintendo clearly beat out Genesis and Turbo-Grafx. In the last generation PS2 won out because of Final Fantasy (huge in Japan) and GTA (huge in the US) as well as a massive library of PS1 games.
In this new generation, the ordering of systems by power is Wii, XBox 360 then PS3. Although it's not clear that the difference between 360 and PS3 will show up in games right way or even ever. As far as games go, Wii has finally jumped on the backwards wagon and is going to provide retro games for Nintendo, Super Nintendo, Genesis, Turbo-Grafx, and N64. That is freaking huge in my opinion and the only reason why I have committed to buy their system and neither of the other two yet. PS3 isn't looking too shabby with PS1 and PS2 still working. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe XBox 360 can run XBox games as well. So total games are looking pretty similar. As far as big name franchies, Nintendo still has the classic ones, but XBox has Halo and it appears XBox now has made some ingrounds into getting SquareEnix and Rockstar in their camp.
Another important factor in deciding who will win the next generation console war is who comes out first. I'm pretty sure the winner came out first or at least before the second place in each generation.
Any way you look at it, Sony has done everything wrong for PS3. Microsoft has learned from some of their mistakes and is poised to make significant ingrounds. Unfortunately for them, Sony had a huge lead. I don't know the exact numbers for share but I believe they are something like 55-35-10 for Sony, Microsoft, Nintendo. I predict the new generation to be much more competitive. My guess is something like 40-37-33 for Microsoft, Sony, Nintendo. In Japan, I think Sony will probably win by similarly low numbers. (Japanese are more likely to trust the Japanese Sony than the American Microsoft.)
I'm no expert, just a fan. I can't really call all that my 2 cents so let's call it my buck forty-five.
Last edited by
Claquesous on Sun May 28, 2006 4:42 am, edited 3 times in total.
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